Craig Wright is not Satoshi Nakamoto, according to a UK court ruling, but for some reason, he made it onto the list.
Key Takeaways
- HBO’s latest documentary could link Len Sassaman to Bitcoin’s creation, Polymarket traders believe.
- Polymarket shows mixed bettor confidence on Satoshi’s definitive identity reveal.
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Bettors on Polymarket favor Len Sassaman over Hal Finney as the potential Satoshi in HBO’s upcoming documentary. Sassaman currently leads the poll with a 49% chance while Finney’s odds are at 14%.
Cryptographer Len Sassaman is renowned for his work on privacy tools like PGP and Mixmaster. His commitment to privacy and decentralization aligns closely with Bitcoin’s core principles.
Sassaman’s tragic death in 2011, shortly after Satoshi’s disappearance, has fueled speculation that the two may have been the same person. Satoshi has never been back online since December 13, 2010.
Meanwhile, speculation that Hal Finney could have been Satoshi arises from the fact that Finney was the first person to download and run Bitcoin’s software after Satoshi. He also received the first Bitcoin transaction from Satoshi in January 2009, which established a direct connection between them.
Finney’s early involvement with Bitcoin and its community has sparked speculation about his identity as Bitcoin’s creator. The theory goes that Finney kept his identity secret to protect his privacy and avoid government scrutiny.
Apart from Sassaman and Finney, other plausible candidates for HBO’s Satoshi are prominent computer scientist and cryptographer Nicholas Szabo and Blockstream CEO Adam Back.
Craig Wright is not Nakamoto, according to a UK court ruling, but for some reason, he made it onto the list. His odds are now at 2%. Elon Musk also joined the poll with a less than 1% chance.
Polymarket’s poll was open after HBO announced it would premiere a documentary titled “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery” next week with its claim to unmask the identity of Bitcoin’s creator.
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